{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"UX TIMES","provider_url":"https:\/\/uxdaystokyo.com\/articles","author_name":"\u30e6\u30fc\u30af\u30b9","author_url":"https:\/\/uxdaystokyo.com\/articles\/author\/uxdt\/","title":"\u30c8\u30a5\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c | UX TIMES","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"o6JGSPQXjW\"><a href=\"https:\/\/uxdaystokyo.com\/articles\/glossary\/toupee-fallacy\/\">\u30c8\u30a5\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/uxdaystokyo.com\/articles\/glossary\/toupee-fallacy\/embed\/#?secret=o6JGSPQXjW\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;\u30c8\u30a5\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c&#8221; &#8212; UX TIMES\" data-secret=\"o6JGSPQXjW\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe><script>\n\/*! This file is auto-generated *\/\n!function(d,l){\"use strict\";l.querySelector&&d.addEventListener&&\"undefined\"!=typeof URL&&(d.wp=d.wp||{},d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage||(d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if((t||t.secret||t.message||t.value)&&!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var s,r,n,a=l.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=l.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),c=new RegExp(\"^https?:$\",\"i\"),i=0;i<o.length;i++)o[i].style.display=\"none\";for(i=0;i<a.length;i++)s=a[i],e.source===s.contentWindow&&(s.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message?(1e3<(r=parseInt(t.value,10))?r=1e3:~~r<200&&(r=200),s.height=r):\"link\"===t.message&&(r=new URL(s.getAttribute(\"src\")),n=new URL(t.value),c.test(n.protocol))&&n.host===r.host&&l.activeElement===s&&(d.top.location.href=t.value))}},d.addEventListener(\"message\",d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),l.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",function(){for(var e,t,s=l.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),r=0;r<s.length;r++)(t=(e=s[r]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))||(t=Math.random().toString(36).substring(2,12),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t)),e.contentWindow.postMessage({message:\"ready\",secret:t},\"*\")},!1)))}(window,document);\n\/\/# sourceURL=https:\/\/uxdaystokyo.com\/articles\/wp-includes\/js\/wp-embed.min.js\n<\/script>\n","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/uxdaystokyo.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/toupee-fallacy.jpeg","thumbnail_width":1352,"thumbnail_height":784,"description":"\u30c8\u30a5\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c\uff08Toupee fallacy\uff09\u3068\u306f\u3001\u3046\u307e\u304f\u3067\u304d\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306f\u6c17\u3065\u304b\u308c\u305a\u306b\u898b\u9003\u3055\u308c\u3001\u51fa\u6765\u306e\u60aa\u3044\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3051\u304c\u76ee\u306b\u3064\u304f\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3001\u305d\u306e\u60aa\u3044\u4f8b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u5224\u65ad\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u601d\u3044\u8fbc\u307f\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u540d\u524d\u306f\u300c\u304b\u3064\u3089\uff08\u30c8\u30a5\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\uff09\u306f\u3059\u3050\u898b\u7834\u308c\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6c7a\u307e\u308a\u6587\u53e5\u306b\u7531\u6765\u3059\u308b\u3002\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u898b\u7834\u308c\u308b\u306e\u306f\u4e0d\u81ea\u7136\u306a\u304b\u3064\u3089\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u306b\u898b\u3048\u308b\u304b\u3064\u3089\u306f\u6c17\u3065\u304b\u308c\u306a\u3044\u307e\u307e\u901a\u308a\u904e\u304e\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306a\u306e\u306b\u300c\u304b\u3064\u3089\u306f\u5168\u90e8\u308f\u3056\u3068\u3089\u3057\u3044\u300d\u3068\u7d50\u8ad6\u3065\u3051\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u6570\u3042\u308b\u601d\u8003\u306e\u504f\u308a\u306e\u3046\u3061\u3001\u89b3\u5bdf\u3067\u304d\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3051\u3067\u5224\u65ad\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u300c\u9078\u629e\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u300d\u306e\u4e00\u7a2e\u3067\u3001\u6210\u529f\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3070\u304b\u308a\u898b\u3066\u5931\u6557\u3092\u898b\u843d\u3068\u3059\u300c\u751f\u5b58\u8005\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u300d\u3068\u540c\u3058\u69cb\u9020\u3092\u6301\u3064\u3002  \u305f\u3068\u3048\u3070\u3001\u30a2\u30f3\u30b1\u30fc\u30c8\u306b\u7b54\u3048\u3066\u304f\u308c\u305f\u5229\u7528\u8005\u304c\u300c\u6e80\u8db3\u300d\u3068\u3070\u304b\u308a\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3060\u304c\u4e0d\u6e80\u3092\u62b1\u3048\u3066\u9ed9\u3063\u3066\u96e2\u308c\u305f\u4eba\u306f\u3001\u305d\u3082\u305d\u3082\u30a2\u30f3\u30b1\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u76ee\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002\u8fd4\u3063\u3066\u304d\u305f\u58f0\u3060\u3051\u3092\u898b\u3066\u300c\u307f\u3093\u306a\u6e80\u8db3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300d\u3068\u65e9\u5408\u70b9\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u3044\u3061\u3070\u3093\u77e5\u308a\u305f\u3044\u96e2\u8131\u306e\u7406\u7531\u3092\u307e\u308b\u3054\u3068\u53d6\u308a\u3053\u307c\u3059\u3002\u898b\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u60c5\u5831\u304c\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u4ee3\u8868\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u306f\u9650\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u70b9\u306b\u3053\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c\u306e\u6016\u3055\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002 \u898b\u3048\u306a\u3044\u6210\u529f\u304c\u5224\u65ad\u3092\u72c2\u308f\u305b\u308b \u30c8\u30a5\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c\u306e\u6838\u5fc3\u306f\u3001\u300c\u3046\u307e\u304f\u3044\u3063\u305f\u3082\u306e\u307b\u3069\u898b\u3048\u306a\u304f\u306a\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u975e\u5bfe\u79f0\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002\u51fa\u6765\u306e\u3088\u3044\u304b\u3064\u3089\u306f\u6c17\u3065\u304b\u308c\u305a\u3001\u5931\u6557\u4f5c\u3060\u3051\u304c\u8a18\u61b6\u306b\u6b8b\u308b\u3002\u3060\u304b\u3089\u624b\u5143\u306b\u96c6\u307e\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u3001\u306f\u3058\u3081\u304b\u3089\u5931\u6557\u5074\u306b\u504f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u504f\u3063\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u3082\u3068\u306b\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u8a9e\u308c\u3070\u3001\u7d50\u8ad6\u3082\u5f53\u7136\u3086\u304c\u3080\u3002  \u540c\u3058\u69cb\u9020\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6709\u540d\u306a\u8a71\u304c\u3001\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u5927\u6226\u4e2d\u306e\u8ecd\u7528\u6a5f\u306e\u9038\u8a71\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u8005\u306eAbraham\u30a8\u30a4\u30d6\u30e9\u30cf\u30e0 Wald\u30ef\u30eb\u30c9\u306f\u3001\u30b3\u30ed\u30f3\u30d3\u30a2\u5927\u5b66\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u30b0\u30eb\u30fc\u30d7\u3067\u3001\u5e30\u9084\u3057\u305f\u7206\u6483\u6a5f\u306e\u88ab\u5f3e\u7b87\u6240\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u8ecd\u306f\u88ab\u5f3e\u306e\u591a\u3044\u90e8\u5206\u3092\u88dc\u5f37\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u30ef\u30eb\u30c9\u306f\u53cd\u5bfe\u3057\u305f\u3002\u5e30\u3063\u3066\u3053\u3089\u308c\u305f\u6a5f\u4f53\u3067\u7a74\u304c\u5c11\u306a\u3044\u90e8\u5206\u3053\u305d\u3001\u305d\u3053\u3092\u6483\u305f\u308c\u305f\u6a5f\u304c\u589c\u843d\u3057\u3066\u623b\u308c\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u6025\u6240\u3060\u3068\u898b\u629c\u3044\u305f\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u7121\u4e8b\u306b\u5e30\u3063\u305f\u6a5f\u4f53\u3060\u3051\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001\u672c\u5f53\u306b\u5371\u967a\u306a\u5834\u6240\u306f\u898b\u3048\u306a\u3044\u3002\u6483\u3061\u843d\u3068\u3055\u308c\u305f\u6a5f\u4f53\u306f\u6570\u304b\u3089\u629c\u3051\u843d\u3061\u3001\u4f55\u3082\u8a9e\u3089\u306a\u3044\u8a3c\u62e0\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002  \u4f5c\u5bb6\u306eNassim\u30ca\u30b7\u30fc\u30e0 Taleb\u30bf\u30ec\u30d6\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u629c\u3051\u843d\u3061\u3092\u300c\u30b5\u30a4\u30ec\u30f3\u30c8\u30fb\u30a8\u30d3\u30c7\u30f3\u30b9\uff08silent evidence\uff09\u300d\u3068\u547c\u3093\u3060\u3002\u6210\u529f\u3057\u305f\u5e97\u3084\u4eba\u306f\u76ee\u7acb\u3064\u304c\u3001\u540c\u3058\u3084\u308a\u65b9\u3067\u6d88\u3048\u3066\u3044\u3063\u305f\u591a\u6570\u306f\u8a9e\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u300c\u3064\u3076\u308c\u305f\u98f2\u98df\u5e97\u306e\u5893\u5834\u306f\u9759\u304b\u3060\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5f7c\u306e\u8a00\u8449\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u69d8\u5b50\u3092\u3088\u304f\u8868\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u8a9e\u6e90\u30fb\u63d0\u5531\u8005 \u30c8\u30a5\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c\u306f\u3001\u6b63\u5f0f\u306a\u8ad6\u7406\u5b66\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c\u4e00\u89a7\u306b\u306f\u3042\u307e\u308a\u8f09\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3001\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u304f\u3060\u3051\u305f\u547c\u3073\u540d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u540d\u524d\u306e\u8d77\u6e90\u306f\u306f\u3063\u304d\u308a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u3089\u305a\u3001\u5c11\u306a\u304f\u3068\u30822006\u5e74\u3054\u308d\u306e\u61d0\u7591\u8ad6\u30dd\u30c3\u30c9\u30ad\u30e3\u30b9\u30c8\u300cThe Skeptics' Guide to the Universe\u300d\u3067\u300c\u3053\u306e\u8aa4\u308a\u306b\u540d\u524d\u3092\u3064\u3051\u3088\u3046\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a71\u984c\u306b\u3055\u304b\u306e\u307c\u308c\u308b\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002  \u767a\u6848\u8005\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3088\u304f\u540d\u524d\u304c\u6319\u304c\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001\u61d0\u7591\u8ad6\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u300cSkepchick\u300d\u3092\u7acb\u3061\u4e0a\u3052\u305fRebecca\u30ec\u30d9\u30c3\u30ab Watson\u30ef\u30c8\u30bd\u30f3\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u5f7c\u5973\u304c\u540d\u4ed8\u3051\u305f\u3068\u78ba\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5e83\u304f\u5e30\u5c5e\u3055\u308c\u3064\u3064\u3082\u6b63\u5f0f\u306b\u306f\u7279\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u304c\u6b63\u78ba\u306a\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3060\u3002\u5b66\u8853\u7528\u8a9e\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3088\u308a\u3001\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u3092\u5206\u304b\u308a\u3084\u3059\u304f\u4f1d\u3048\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u611b\u79f0\u306b\u8fd1\u3044\u3002\u82f1\u8a9e\u8868\u8a18\u306f Toupee fallacy \u304c\u6a19\u6e96\u3067\u3001\u30d5\u30e9\u30f3\u30b9\u8a9e\u98a8\u306b\u30a2\u30af\u30bb\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u4ed8\u3051\u305f Toup\u00e9e fallacy \u3082\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u308b\u3002 \u90fd\u5408\u306e\u3044\u3044\u6570\u5b57\u3092\u7591\u3048\u308b \u3053\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c\u3092\u77e5\u3063\u3066\u304a\u304f\u4fa1\u5024\u306f\u3001\u76ee\u306e\u524d\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u4fe1\u3058\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u5371\u3046\u3055\u306b\u6c17\u3065\u3051\u308b\u70b9\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002\u624b\u5143\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u304c\u826f\u304f\u898b\u3048\u3066\u3082\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306f\u300c\u7b54\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\u72b6\u614b\u3067\u6b8b\u3063\u305f\u4eba\u300d\u3060\u3051\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u826f\u3044\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u51fa\u305f\u3068\u304d\u307b\u3069\u3001\u305d\u306e\u96c6\u8a08\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u306e\u306f\u8ab0\u304b\u3092\u5148\u306b\u8003\u3048\u308b\u7656\u304c\u3064\u3051\u3070\u3001\u7d50\u8ad6\u3092\u6025\u304c\u305a\u306b\u6e08\u3080\u3002\u6210\u529f\u4f8b\u306f\u653e\u3063\u3066\u304a\u3044\u3066\u3082\u76ee\u306b\u5165\u308b\u3076\u3093\u3001\u3046\u307e\u304f\u3044\u304b\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u5074\u306e\u8a18\u9332\u3092\u610f\u56f3\u3057\u3066\u6b8b\u3057\u3001\u5224\u65ad\u6750\u6599\u306b\u52a0\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3082\u8981\u308b\u3002\u6570\u5b57\u306e\u5927\u5c0f\u3092\u8aad\u3080\u524d\u306b\u3001\u305d\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u304c\u8ab0\u306e\u58f0\u3067\u3067\u304d\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3092\u554f\u3044\u76f4\u305b\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002\u3053\u308c\u304c\u30c8\u30a5\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c\u3092\u5b66\u3076\u3044\u3061\u3070\u3093\u306e\u52b9\u7528\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002 \u6d88\u3048\u305f\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u3092\u6570\u3048\u76f4\u3059 \u5bfe\u7b56\u306e\u57fa\u672c\u306f\u3001\u300c\u89b3\u5bdf\u3067\u304d\u305f\u3082\u306e\u300d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u300c\u89b3\u5bdf\u304b\u3089\u629c\u3051\u305f\u3082\u306e\u300d\u306b\u76ee\u3092\u5411\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u5c3d\u304d\u308b\u3002\u826f\u3044\u304b\u3064\u3089\u3092\u6570\u3048\u305f\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u898b\u7834\u308c\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6c17\u3065\u304b\u305a\u306b\u901a\u308a\u904e\u304e\u305f\u4eba\u3092\u63a2\u3057\u306b\u3044\u304b\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002  \u5b9f\u52d9\u3067\u306f\u3001\u307e\u305a\u300c\u3053\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u73fe\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u306e\u306f\u8ab0\u304b\u300d\u3068\u554f\u3046\u3068\u3053\u308d\u304b\u3089\u59cb\u3081\u308b\u3002\u30a2\u30f3\u30b1\u30fc\u30c8\u306a\u3089\u7b54\u3048\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u5c64\u3001\u8cfc\u5165\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306a\u3089\u8cb7\u308f\u305a\u306b\u53bb\u3063\u305f\u4eba\u3001\u30ec\u30d3\u30e5\u30fc\u306a\u3089\u66f8\u304d\u8fbc\u307e\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u5927\u591a\u6570\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u305d\u306e\u3046\u3048\u3067\u3001\u629c\u3051\u843d\u3061\u305f\u4eba\u305f\u3061\u306b\u5c4a\u304f\u5225\u306e\u624b\u6bb5\u3092\u7528\u610f\u3059\u308b\u3002\u96e2\u8131\u3057\u305f\u76f4\u5f8c\u306b\u77ed\u3044\u8cea\u554f\u3092\u9001\u308b\u3001\u9014\u4e2d\u3067\u3084\u3081\u305f\u4eba\u3060\u3051\u306b\u7d5e\u3063\u3066\u8ffd\u3044\u304b\u3051\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u5de5\u592b\u3067\u3001\u6c88\u9ed9\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u58f0\u3092\u62fe\u3044\u76f4\u305b\u308b\u3002\u96c6\u3081\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3059\u308b\u524d\u306b\u3001\u305d\u306e\u96c6\u307e\u308a\u306b\u629c\u3051\u304c\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3092\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u4e00\u624b\u9593\u304c\u3001\u504f\u3063\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304b\u3089\u306e\u65e9\u5408\u70b9\u3092\u9632\u3050\u3002 \u53bb\u3063\u305f\u5229\u7528\u8005\u306e\u6c88\u9ed9\u3092\u805e\u304f \u30d7\u30ed\u30c0\u30af\u30c8\u6539\u5584\u306e\u73fe\u5834\u3067\u306f\u3001\u767b\u9332\u5f8c\u3057\u3070\u3089\u304f\u7d4c\u3063\u305f\u5229\u7528\u8005\u306b\u6e80\u8db3\u5ea6\u30a2\u30f3\u30b1\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u9001\u308b\u5834\u9762\u304c\u3088\u304f\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u3053\u306b\u30c8\u30a5\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c\u304c\u5165\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002  \u3042\u308b\u30b5\u30fc\u30d3\u30b9\u304c\u767b\u9332\u304b\u308990\u65e5\u5f8c\u306b\u6e80\u8db3\u5ea6\u3092\u5c0b\u306d\u300110\u70b9\u6e80\u70b9\u3067\u5e73\u57478.2\u3068\u3044\u3046\u597d\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u5f97\u305f\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3002\u6570\u5b57\u3060\u3051\u898b\u308c\u3070\u9806\u8abf\u306b\u601d\u3048\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u6700\u521d\u306e30\u65e5\u3067\u534a\u6570\u8fd1\u304f\u304c\u4f7f\u3046\u306e\u3092\u3084\u3081\u3066\u3044\u3066\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4eba\u305f\u3061\u306f\u30a2\u30f3\u30b1\u30fc\u30c8\u304c\u5c4a\u304f\u524d\u306b\u53bb\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u7b54\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u306f\u5b9a\u7740\u3057\u305f\u4e00\u90e8\u306e\u5229\u7528\u8005\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3001\u3044\u3061\u3070\u3093\u6539\u5584\u306e\u30d2\u30f3\u30c8\u306b\u306a\u308b\u96e2\u8131\u8005\u306e\u4e0d\u6e80\u306f\u3001\u307e\u308b\u3054\u3068\u96c6\u8a08\u306e\u5916\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002\u826f\u3044\u304b\u3064\u3089\u304c\u898b\u3048\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3067\u3001\u53bb\u3063\u305f\u4eba\u306e\u58f0\u306f\u805e\u3053\u3048\u306a\u3044\u307e\u307e\u6b8b\u308b\u3002  \u3053\u3053\u3067\u6253\u3064\u3079\u304d\u624b\u306f\u3001\u6e80\u8db3\u5ea6\u306e\u9ad8\u3055\u306b\u5b89\u5fc3\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u767b\u9332\u304b\u308930\u65e5\u4ee5\u5185\u306b\u3084\u3081\u305f\u4eba\u3078\u7406\u7531\u3092\u805e\u304d\u306b\u3044\u304f\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3002\u96e2\u8131\u306e\u30bf\u30a4\u30df\u30f3\u30b0\u3067\u4e00\u554f\u3060\u3051\u306e\u8cea\u554f\u3092\u51fa\u3059\u3001\u89e3\u7d04\u753b\u9762\u306b\u81ea\u7531\u8a18\u8ff0\u306e\u6b04\u3092\u7f6e\u304f\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u4ed5\u639b\u3051\u3067\u3001\u6d88\u3048\u3066\u3044\u304f\u524d\u306e\u58f0\u3092\u6355\u307e\u3048\u308b\u3002\u898b\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b8.2\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u898b\u3048\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u96e2\u8131\u8005\u306b\u3053\u305d\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u4e00\u624b\u304c\u96a0\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u95a2\u9023\u7528\u8a9e   \u751f\u5b58\u8005\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\uff08Survivorship bias\uff09    \u9078\u629e\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\uff08Selection bias\uff09    \u30b5\u30a4\u30ec\u30f3\u30c8\u30fb\u30a8\u30d3\u30c7\u30f3\u30b9\uff08Silent evidence\uff09"}