{"id":34357,"date":"2025-09-02T19:38:13","date_gmt":"2025-09-02T10:38:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uxdaystokyo.com\/articles\/?post_type=glossary&#038;p=34357"},"modified":"2025-09-05T12:52:35","modified_gmt":"2025-09-05T03:52:35","slug":"regression-fallacy","status":"publish","type":"glossary","link":"https:\/\/uxdaystokyo.com\/articles\/glossary\/regression-fallacy\/","title":{"rendered":"\u56de\u5e30\u306e\u8aa4\u8b2c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u300c\u6975\u7aef\u306a\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u6b21\u56de\u306b\u306f\u5e73\u5747\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u304f\u50be\u5411\u304c\u3042\u308b\uff08\u5e73\u5747\u3078\u306e\u56de\u5e30\uff09\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u73fe\u8c61\u3092\u7406\u89e3\u305b\u305a\u306b\u3001\u5225\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u3092\u898b\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u8a8d\u77e5\u7684\u8aa4\u308a\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u3067\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u826f\u3044\u70b9\u3092\u53d6\u3063\u305f\u751f\u5f92\u304c\u6b21\u56de\u306f\u5e73\u5747\u70b9\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u304f\u306e\u306f\u5076\u7136\u3084\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u6027\u8cea\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u306e\u306b\u3001\u5b66\u7fd2\u614b\u5ea6\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306a\u3069\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u8aa4\u3063\u3066\u89e3\u91c8\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6307\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5e83\u3081\u305f\u4eba<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"229\" data-end=\"453\">\u300c<a href=\"https:\/\/uxdaystokyo.com\/articles\/glossary\/regression-toward-the-mean\/\">\u5e73\u5747\u3078\u306e\u56de\u5e30<\/a>\uff08regression to the mean\uff09\u300d\u306f\u3001\u30a4\u30ae\u30ea\u30b9\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u8005 \u30d5\u30e9\u30f3\u30b7\u30b9\u30fb\u30b4\u30eb\u30c8\u30f3\uff08Francis Galton, 1822\u20131911\uff09 \u306b\u3088\u3063\u30661877\u5e74\u9803\u306b\u767a\u898b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"229\" 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